Ohio State dominated Penn State in what should have been the GOY, but turned out to be the Julian Sayin for Heisman (and Carnell Tate/Jeremiah Smith joint Heisman) launch party. While, yes, the Buckeyes were only ahead by 3 at half, the defense came alive and didn’t allow the Nittany Lions another point while Sayin and Co. put up another 21. That’s 8 straight opponents held under 17.

Georgia finds a way or Georgia escapes again? Once again, the Bulldogs underwhelmed against an inferior opponent. But, they found a way to get out of Jacksonville with the all important W. The Dawgs rank 20th in Game Control, behind teams like Miami, Utah, USC, and Cincinnati. Will we see another sluggish performance from Georgia in Starksville?

Georgia Tech did exactly what they couldn’t afford to do. They stumbled, and Haynes King wasn’t enough to escape NC State’s vigorous offensive explosion. While the loss doesn’t kill their year, it might’ve just buried any shot the ACC gets multiple teams into the playoff. Especially as Miami falls on the road to SMU, and is now behind the Mustangs for a shot at the ACC title. The Canes still have the best non-conference win for the conference, but at this point might not be even getting a shot at the ACC title. (Virginia, Georgia Tech, Pitt, Louisville, SMU, and Duke are all ahead of Miami)

Is Texas for real or is Vandy exposing the middling nature of the SEC? The SEC was bound to eat itself at some point, and this weekend proved to be the start. Texas put Vanderbilt’s dreams to bed, with a little help from Vandy’s hands team who couldn’t recover an on-side kick that no less than half of Nashville touched. The Sooners buried Tennessee’s hopes for a Knoxville-After-Dark Halloween party with a dominant win at Neyland.

The Big 12 is now BYU’s to lose, and Saturday might just be the biggest game the conference has had in years. Brendan Sorsby and the Bearcats got CRUSHED on the road, it was probably the late start (11:30 pm for the Cats) and nothing to do with the Utes’ suffocating defense. And West Virginia knocked Houston out on their own home turf, ending any hope the Cougars could get back to their 2021 form (the year they lost to Texas Tech and then ran the table until getting beat in the American Championship by Cincinnati).

Navy was knocked down by North Texas, much the same way that USF knocked down UNT. Meanwhile, Tulane’s Green Wave got run over by a Roadrunner. North Texas now has an inside track to the championship, but Navy could be the difference in the American as they still face Memphis and USF. The American has 6 teams with one conference loss.

Compilation

Week 11
1OSU (1.75)
1Indiana (1.75)
3Oregon (4.75)
4Alabama (5.5)
5Texas A&M (6.25)
6Texas Tech (6.75)
7BYU (9.25)
8Notre Dame (9.5)
9Georgia (11)
10Ole Miss (11.75)
11Utah (11.75)
12Oklahoma (12)
12Texas (12)
14Miami (13)
15Vanderbilt (14)
15USC (14)
17Michigan (17.75)
18Tennessee (18.5)
19Iowa (22.25)
20Louisville (22.5)
21Illinois (23)
22Missouri (23.25)
23Cincinnati (24.75)
23LSU (24.75)
25South Florida (25.25)
DroppedWashington and Georgia Tech
Determined by Eff+FPI+SOR+GC/4

Iowa is a newcomer to the Compilation rankings. The Hawkeyes have amassed a quiet 6-2 record, with only a close road loss to ISU and a home loss to Indiana. Iowa is the only team to hold Indiana below 27 points all year. As per usual, the Hawkeye defense leads the way for the team, posting the 7th best defensive stop percentage in the country. Four Big 10 teams feature in the top-8 on that list (the SEC has 4 in the top-20).

Indiana leads the Compilation – FPI rankings, but they continue to be right in line with Ohio State in both, meanwhile the gap between those two and the rest continues to expand.

Comparing Two Loss Teams

A common theme this year has been that we are seeing the end of the “undefeated and one-loss” champion era. Two losses don’t necessarily eliminate teams from being part of the top 12 anymore. In fact, there’s a chance we see multiple two-loss teams in this year. So, let’s blind compare some resumes.

Team A

  • 2 wins over at-the-time ranked teams
  • Two road losses
  • 2-2 against above .500 teams
  • 1 loss to team below .500

Team B

  • 3 wins over at-the-time ranked teams
  • One loss at home, one loss on the road
  • 5-2 against teams above .500
  • 0 losses to teams below .500

Team C

  • 1 win over at-the-time ranked team
  • Two home losses
  • 3-1 against teams above .500
  • 1 loss to team below .500

Team D

  • 0 wins over at-the-time ranked teams
  • Two road losses
  • 4-2 against above .500 teams
  • 0 losses to below .500 teams

Team B has the most ranked wins and the most wins against above .500 opponents and no bad losses.

Team D has more wins (and games) against above .500 teams than Team A and no bad losses.

Team A hasn’t lost at home and has two quality wins over ranked teams.

Team C has two losses at home, including a bad loss to a sub-.500 team.

Would anyone be surprised that team A is ranked higher than Team B and D?

Team A is Texas, B is Miami, C is Houston, and D is Michigan.

CFP Bracket

My previous bracket took a big hit this past weekend with Georgia Tech, Miami, Vandy, and Navy all getting knocked out.

Other than the obvious, here are a few questions that remain for how this will shake out:

Does USC keep winning? Does Miami win out? If so, Notre Dame should be safe. If either falters, the Irish could be the ones at risk.

Who takes control of the ACC?

Is 4 the max any conference is getting? If not, just how many SEC teams will make it?

Can anyone stop OSU and Indiana from meeting twice?

Remaining CFP elimination games (who is at risk):

  • Tulane at Memphis (both)
  • Navy at Notre Dame (Notre Dame)
  • Texas at Georgia (Texas)
  • Oklahoma at Alabama (OU)
  • Notre Dame at Pitt (both)
  • USC at Oregon (USC)
  • Pitt at Georgia Tech (both)
  • BYU at Cincinnati (Cincinnati)
  • Louisville at SMU (both)
  • Navy at Memphis (both)
  • Georgia at Georgia Tech (both)
  • Texas A&M at Texas (Texas)
  • Ohio State at Michigan (Michigan)

First CFP Rankings of the year will be released Tuesday. Will you be following?

Leave a comment

Quote of the week

It’s hard to describe to people unless you’re a college football fan, the energy of it, the pageantry, getting onto a college campus in the fall.

~ Kirk Herbstreit